Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 3.159980 3.704611 4.284470 4.944665 5.672358 6.446949 7.330736
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 2.231114 2.945851 3.766599 4.765380 5.934584 7.247169 8.819093
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 1.602014 2.383636 3.349434 4.598328 6.138524 7.945351 10.193981
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 1.202168 2.011234 3.082745 4.545755 6.432144 8.726558 11.670692
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.903109 1.704162 2.840438 4.473129 6.664427 9.414972 13.037137
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.759403 1.586869 2.828462 4.685113 7.253547 10.552896 14.979522
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.602120 1.411480 2.702598 4.715471 7.586640 11.360206 16.515593
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.526073 1.354501 2.741534 4.973515 8.230142 12.581830 18.604357
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.453063 1.285552 2.748839 5.177137 8.797246 13.710112 20.590845
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.374045 1.185042 2.688752 5.266968 9.197242 14.615920 22.296822
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.290066 1.050060 2.549579 5.216396 9.381992 15.223320 23.609543
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.240043 0.976704 2.508333 5.314345 9.782837 16.132362 25.338266
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.193718 0.899745 2.453786 5.391130 10.162661 17.034413 27.096369
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.139434 0.778296 2.294430 5.275793 10.239371 17.505468 28.272128
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.095873 0.664076 2.129085 5.132178 10.259109 17.888460 29.327497
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.068548 0.586780 2.028313 5.092646 10.437249 18.500573 30.709018
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.046532 0.511601 1.917531 5.022297 10.557281 19.024316 31.969639
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.039911 0.503302 1.965420 5.256021 11.185284 20.316269 34.342042
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.028573 0.458433 1.914023 5.290902 11.478972 21.108501 36.007670
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.025376 0.460447 1.984617 5.571246 12.195000 22.551908 38.629493
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.021237 0.451871 2.025212 5.791955 12.813612 23.855504 41.063846
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.015600 0.423609 2.006712 5.889289 13.220715 24.840142 43.045657
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.009373 0.374629 1.918995 5.834752 13.359158 25.410147 44.427006